Center for Global Studies expects announcement of Kurdistan State in two years

, indicating that the interests and goals of Iran, Turkey , the West, and America will not stand in its way, considering the economic pressures exerted by Baghdad against Erbil as something that will accelerate for the separation .

The report briefed by “Shafaq News” , predicts that the next couple of years would witness the separation of Kurdistan Region from Iraq and the announcement of the Kurdish state .

The report pointed out that the circumstances surrounding Kurdistan and its inability to withstand the financial pressures from Baghdad in the non-payment of the budget and allow the export of oil will push its powers to declare the Kurdish state and separate .

The report indicates that the export of oil from the region will be the first features of the Kurdish State in particular , pointing to the numerous indicators issued by the Turkish government show a lack of opposition to the establishment of that state.

The report explained that Turkey and Erdogan's government sees Kurdistan Region as a strategic ally and increase the volume of bilateral trade to more than 10 billion dollars and the presence of nearly 1600 Turkish company in the region and prepare for the export of Kurdish oil to Turkey from there to the world , but explicit references to the satisfaction of Turkey for the Declaration of a Kurdish state in north Iraq .

According to the report , Iran also would not mind a Kurdish state because Tehran is fully aware that this reduces the share of Iraq in OPEC , especially as they plan to return strongly to the global oil market after lifting sanctions.

Syria does not seem able today to show any opinion of the Kurdish issue, especially since Syria's Kurds have become part of the bloody conflict , According to the same report.

The report of the International Center for Development Studies said that the United States and Europe do not mind of their part , the Declaration of a Kurdish State for the presence of most of its oil companies in the Kurdistan region , pointing to a clear interest features of the contracts with the region and the desire to overcome the differences obstacle between Baghdad and Erbil, which hinder access of exports to global markets .

The report of the International Center for Development Studies noted that Baghdad bear part of the responsibility for any Kurdish decision to separate because Baghdad rejected the repayment of the region's share of the budget and set at 17 % and its opposition to the oil export from the region did not make any another option , but to search for solutions to their crisis .

The report shows that the announcement will enable the Kurdish State of the Kurds from the sale of oil quantities stored and exported to the global market and obtain the revenue to calculate their emerging state.

But the report draws to the existence of dilemmas that do not relate to surrounding countries , but what will Kurdistan earn from oil revenues if separated from Baghdad , adding that the budget of the region amounting to 17% of Iraq's budget would allow the region to get 25.517 billion dollars, while in the case of the separation of the region and sell 400 thousand barrels per day , the revenues will be according to the current price of a barrel of oil for nearly 15 billion dollars annually, a difference of less than $ 10 billion .

The report adds that the export capacity of the region and the infrastructure of the oil need more time , so separation of Kurdistan Region in the current circumstances is unlikely to happen.

According to the report , Kurdistan Region needs to export around 280 thousand barrels per day to compensate for other deficiencies in the budget and pay the salaries of its staff without returning to Baghdad , noting that the announcement timing is linked to the region as a great deal of oil and the ability of the giant companies in the region to export it.

The report of the International Center for Development Studies indicates that Kurdistan Region of Iraq will be able in 2017 to export 700 thousand barrels of oil per day , so they considered it as a crucial stage in the history of Iraq and Kurdistan alike.

The report added that the announcement of Kurdish State is linked with successive governments in Baghdad to accommodate the expansion of the oil and flexibility in dealing with the region in oil prices , which determine a large part of its features .